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Jack M. Guttentag The Mortgage Professor

Jack M. Guttentag, The Mortgage Professor

The Down Payment Makes a Comeback

by Jack M. Guttentag

Very Good (269 Ratings)
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Posted on Tuesday, August 12, 2008, 12:00AM

Over the past 18 months, the mortgage market has changed more rapidly than in any comparable period since the Great Depression. From the standpoint of borrowers, two changes are of paramount importance. The first is an increase in day-to-day price volatility. The second is a tightening of underwriting requirements, with higher down payment requirements the centerpiece. That is the subject of this article.

Underwriting requirements are the rules lenders impose to assure that loans will be paid off, and the down payment has always been the most important of them. The down payment is the difference between the lower of the sale price or property value and the amount of the mortgage loan secured by the property. If you purchase a house for $200,000 that is appraised for $200,000 or more, and you take a mortgage of $160,000, your down payment is $40,000, or 20 percent of value.

Getting Equity

A 20 percent down payment can also be described as a borrower having equity in the property of 20 percent. In the future, equity in the property is measured by the difference between the current value of the property and the current loan balance, both of which are likely to differ from their values at the time of purchase.

One reason the down payment is so important is that it is the single most vital factor affecting loss to the lender. The down payment is a buffer against lender loss in the event of a foreclosure. For example, if foreclosure costs are 20 percent of value and property value does not change, a 20 percent down payment fully protects a foreclosing lender against loss, but a 10 percent down payment provides only partial protection.

Perhaps even more important, borrowers who get into payment difficulties but have equity in their properties usually will sell to avoid foreclosure. By selling, they realize the equity themselves, whereas if they allow the property to go to foreclosure the equity will be partially or wholly depleted by foreclosure costs. Their selling avoids the foreclosure.

Having Budgetary Discipline

There is still another reason why lenders attach so much importance to the down payment. Borrowers who have been able to save the funds for a down payment are less likely to get into payment troubles later on. Saving for a down payment requires budgetary discipline, repaying a mortgage also requires budgetary discipline, and the one carries over to the other. Of course, this assumes that the down payment is saved, not borrowed. Underwriters look for evidence that the funds committed to down payment are the borrower's own.

When a house is purchased, the owner's equity is the down payment, but as time passes the equity is affected by two other things. One is any change in the loan balance. If the mortgage is fully amortizing, then the mortgage payment includes a principal component which reduces the loan balance. If the required payment is interest-only, and the borrower does not add anything to the payment, the loan balance will not change. And if it is a negative amortization loan, the balance will increase rather than decrease, and homeowner equity will decline. In the first few years of a mortgage's life, however, changes in homeowner equity resulting from modifications in the loan balance are usually quite small.

Homeowner equity is also affected by changes in house prices, which can be sizeable. During 2000-2006, house prices in some metropolitan areas rose by more than 20 percent a year. If a home buyer puts nothing down and there is a 20 percent appreciation in his home value over a year, he has as much equity in his property as a buyer who put 20 percent down in a stable market.

Zero-Down in the Go-Go Period

It is hardly surprising that house price inflation during the go-go period resulted in a drastic weakening of underwriting requirements in general -- and down payment requirements in particular. Zero-down loans became increasingly common during this period.

When the market turned and home prices began to decline in late 2006 and 2007, down payment requirements had to be drastically revamped. Just as rising prices generate homeowner equity, falling prices destroy it. There are no zero-down loans anymore, except the VA loan for veterans. FHA loans remain available at 3 percent down for smaller amounts, but conventional loans now generally require 10 percent down, and in some areas it is higher. On top of this, lenders now want most borrowers to have good credit scores and to fully document their incomes.

It easily could be worse, and without the federal agencies (FHA, Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac), it surely would be. Nobody is forecasting a quick end of house price declines, so down payments of 3 percent to 10 percent don't look like a lot of protection against future losses. Any loan today that is untouched by one of the federal agencies will have a required down payment larger than 10 percent.

Save, Save, Save

Down payment requirements have a critical impact on the capacity of consumers to afford a house. If buying a home is in your plans but you have never been able to save, it is time you learned how. The secret is to make saving a high priority in your budget.

Decide beforehand what part of your income you can afford to save, and create a special account for that purpose. Then, immediately after you are paid, write a check for deposit in that account. If you view saving as a residual -- what remains of your income unspent at the end of the month -- you are giving saving the lowest possible priority, which is a virtual guarantee of failure.

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105 Comments

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  • ck_fp - Tuesday, August 26, 2008, 9:20AM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 4/5

    Here's a question. We know most people have been buying houses with much less than 20% down over the last few years. How long will it take the average family to save 20%? And can we assume that since lending standards have changed so drastically that everyone who wants a house is basically just now starting to save for a down payment?

  • gert - Tuesday, August 19, 2008, 8:01PM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 3/5

    Years ago you always need some down payment on a house. this subprime mortgages say no down payment no job etc. no wonder this country is losing jobs and housing people cannot afford we are to blame as the govt is.

  • Leo Russ - Tuesday, August 19, 2008, 5:59PM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 5/5

    One problem with ANY prediction in the US: corporations will find the way to screw up the system out of general greed and stupidity. They need to be controlled every step of the way AND those abusing the system are to go in jail, not misteriously die in their estate.

  • Lisa H - Tuesday, August 19, 2008, 4:33PM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 2/5

    I would personally like to see us go to a mortgage system that allows me to use my bank account as a mortgage account. Have my payroll deposited and all of my bills automatically deducted from this account thus reducing the interest on the loan value without even realizing I'm saving it. Think about it. Australia does the house financing this way and it works. Imagine if you looked at your bank account and saw negative 280k, I'm sure you would stop, take a breath and think before making large purchases. my 2 cents... should have put them in the bank though.

  • dave - Tuesday, August 19, 2008, 3:16PM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 3/5

    Everyone says save, but that's not the answer... why? Because of inflation! Once you save those dollars they are automatically worth less, also saving pulls dollars out of the money supply.

Showing comments 1-5 of 105Next >>

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